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Evidence Summary

Bacterial Vaginosis in Pregnancy to Prevent Preterm Delivery: Screening

February 15, 2008

Recommendations made by the USPSTF are independent of the U.S. government. They should not be construed as an official position of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

Evidence on the Benefits and Harms of Screening and TreatingPregnant Women Who Are Asymptomatic for Bacterial Vaginosis: An Update Review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force

By Peggy Nygren, MA; Rongwei Fu, PhD; Michele Freeman, MPH; Christina Bougatsos, BS; Mark Klebanoff, MD, MPH; and Jeanne-Marie Guise, MD, MPH

The authors of this article are responsible for its contents, including any clinical or treatment recommendations. No statement in this article should be construed as an official position of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

This article was first published in the Annals of Internal Medicine. Select for copyright and source information.

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Background: Bacterial vaginosis is the most common lower genital tract syndrome among women of reproductive age. There has been continued debate about the value of screening and treating asymptomatic pregnant women for bacterial vaginosis.

Purpose: To examine new evidence on the benefits and harms of screening and treating bacterial vaginosis in asymptomatic pregnant women.

Data Sources: English-language studies on Ovid MEDLINE® (2000 to September 2007) and Cochrane Library databases (through September 2007), reference lists, and expert suggestions.

Study Selection: Screening, treatment, or adverse effect studies with pregnancy outcome data in women who are asymptomatic for bacterial vaginosis.

Data Extraction: Study and patient characteristics, treatment variables, adverse pregnancy outcomes, and internal validity quality criteria from the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) and Jadad scale were abstracted.

Data Synthesis: 7 new randomized, controlled treatment trials and 2001 report data were combined in a series of meta-analyses to estimate the pooled effect of treatment on preterm delivery (<37, <34, and <32 weeks); low birthweight; and preterm, premature rupture of membranes.

Limitations: No screening studies that compared a screened population with a nonscreened population were found. Significant heterogeneity was found among the high-risk treatment trials (P <0.001). It is not clear from the detailed description of the studies which factors explain the differences in preterm delivery rates and potentially the association of treatment effect; however, both raise concern for the unintended potential for harm.

Conclusion: No benefit was found in treating women with low- or average-risk pregnancies for asymptomatic bacterial vaginosis. More research is needed to better understand these groups and the conditions under which treatment can be harmful or helpful, and to explore the relevance of bacterial vaginosis to other adverse pregnancy outcomes, such as delivery before 34 weeks.

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Bacterial vaginosis is the most common lower genital tract syndrome in women of reproductive age.1 It involves an imbalance in the vaginal bacterial ecosystem, such that hydrogen peroxide-producing lactobacilli are diminished and Gardnerella vaginalis, anaerobes, and mycoplasmata are abundant. Symptoms can include vaginal discharge, pruritus, or malodor, although approximately half of women with bacterial vaginosis are asymptomatic.2-4 Once the condition is diagnosed, the microflora imbalance can be altered with a short course of antibiotic therapy; however, recurrence is common. The natural history of bacterial vaginosis in pregnant women has shown that up to 50% of cases of bacterial vaginosis resolve spontaneously during pregnancy.5,6 Although several antibiotic treatment regimens have been shown to effectively eradicate bacterial vaginosis in pregnant women,7 the treatments recommended in pregnancy by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are oral metronidazole (250 mg 3 times daily for 7 days) or oral clindamycin (300 mg twice daily for 7 days).8,9

Researchers have documented the associations between bacterial vaginosis and adverse pregnancy outcomes, focusing on preterm birth and, more recently, the timing of treatment.4,10-20 This epidemiologic evidence has been used as a rationale for screening asymptomatic pregnant women. The prevalence of bacterial vaginosis in pregnant women seen in community settings is not well studied. In several large, prospective, longitudinal studies, the rate of bacterial vaginosis has ranged from 9% to 23%.11-13,21-23 Nearly one quarter of white women in an NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) probability sample had Gram stains consistent with bacterial vaginosis.24 Bacterial vaginosis in pregnancy may be more common among minority women, those of low socioeconomic status, and those who have previously delivered low-birthweight infants.[[12.25.26]] The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network study found that nearly 50% of pregnant African-American women had bacterial vaginosis,17 similar to the rate found in nonpregnant African American women in NHANES.24

Recently, concerns have been raised that metronidazole, the most common antibiotic used to treat bacterial vaginosis, may increase preterm births in certain populations. In studies that focus on treatment with metronidazole (often at higher doses for treatment of Trichomonas vaginalis), treated pregnant women were up to twice as likely to have a preterm birth as their untreated counterparts.27,28 The juxtaposition of these data, along with epidemiologic evidence associating bacterial vaginosis with preterm birth, leads to considerable confusion for clinicians and researchers alike. Whether to screen or treat multiple times, when to start, and at what interval during pregnancy are unanswered questions, as bacterial vaginosis may not necessarily persist throughout pregnancy.

This review was conducted for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) to update its 2001 recommendations29-31 by examining the chain of evidence regarding the value of screening for and treating bacterial vaginosis in reducing adverse pregnancy outcomes for asymptomatic women at low, average, and high risk for preterm delivery.

 
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Figure 1 presents the analytic framework and key questions used to guide this updated review.

Data Sources

We searched the Cochrane Central Registry of Controlled Trials, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and the Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects to identify relevant studies through September 2007 (Appendix Table 1 and Appendix Table 2). In addition, we conducted question-specific searches in Ovid MEDLINE® for studies from 1996 to September 2007 and Ovid MEDLINE® Database of In-Process and Other Non-Indexed Citations for studies from 2000 to September 2007 to identify otherwise nonindexed studies relevant to any key question. We downloaded and stored captured titles and abstracts in an EndNote database for systematic review and tracking throughout the project. We conducted additional targeted keyword searches and compared the results with the existing database, reviewing unique citations relating to all key questions for inclusion. We obtained additional articles by comparing reference lists of other systematic reviews, individual studies, editorials, reports, and Web sites and by consulting experts.

Study Selection

We included systematic reviews and individual randomized, controlled trials that evaluated screening, treatment, pregnancy outcomes, or adverse effects for asymptomatic women with bacterial vaginosis. Two investigators independently reviewed captured abstracts by using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria, and we retrieved any title or abstract that either reviewer marked for inclusion. Two reviewers also independently reviewed full-text papers according to specific criteria. Investigators met to resolve any discrepancies. For a screening trial to be included, we required a comparison of pregnancy outcomes for 2 distinct groups of women: 1 group was screened and treated, and the other was unscreened. We defined asymptomatic patients as those who presented for routine prenatal visits and not specifically for evaluation of vaginal discharge, odor, or itching. Under this definition, asymptomatic patients could include both patients who had no symptoms and those who were unaware of symptoms. We felt this population was most reflective of that encountered in everyday practice. Eligible studies were conducted in settings where pregnant women went for prenatal and obstetric care.

Study participants were categorized as having low, average (general population), or high risk for preterm delivery. Women who had not had a previous preterm delivery or had no other risk factors for preterm delivery (for example, nulliparous women) were considered to be low-risk. The general population, or average-risk, category included all pregnant women presenting to the clinic or study site regardless of risk status. This would include a mix of women at low, average, and high risk for preterm delivery. Women who had a previous preterm delivery due to spontaneous rupture of membranes or spontaneous preterm labor were categorized as high-risk.

We excluded studies of nonpregnant women or those symptomatic for bacterial vaginosis or other infections, as well as studies lacking pregnancy outcomes, animal studies, and non-English-language studies. We reviewed randomized, controlled trials that matched all other criteria except for including multiple infections to ascertain whether bacterial vaginosis-only data were available for any pregnancy outcome, and we excluded studies that only included outcome data for multiple infections.

Data Extraction and Quality Assessment

Two independent reviewers read and extracted data on study design, number of persons who enrolled in and completed the study, setting, patient demographic characteristics, inclusion and exclusion criteria, diagnostic methods, and risk factors. We abstracted all pregnancy outcome data provided. Preterm delivery (that is, the probability of delivery before 37 weeks) may be further subdivided into "spontaneous" preterm delivery and "indicated" preterm delivery. Other abstracted outcomes included low birthweight (defined as <2500 g); preterm, premature rupture of membranes; preterm labor; spontaneous abortion; postpartum endometritis; neonatal sepsis; and intrauterine, neonatal, or perinatal death. We extracted treatment data on reported gestational age at screening and treatment, type of treatment, dose, regimen, administration route, and number of treatment rounds. We documented and summarized all data on adverse effects of treatment, including drug tolerability, study discontinuation related to drug effects, and adverse pregnancy outcomes. We applied a "best-evidence" approach, in which studies with the highest quality and most rigorous designs are emphasized.32

Two investigators separately evaluated the assessment of relevance and appraisal of internal validity by using the predefined study quality criteria of the USPSTF33 (Appendix Table 3) and the Jadad34 rating systems for individual studies (Appendix Table 4 and Appendix Table 5). Raters noted the appropriateness of procedures for patient recruitment and selection, random assignment, blinding, reporting of withdrawals and dropouts, and analyses. Experts in the field suggested that we also abstract study characteristics related to internal validity assessment that are specific to this body of literature. These included patient and provider blinding at second bacterial vaginosis test and second round of treatment, timing and number of dating sonograms obtained before or after random assignment, and types and rates of coinfection. We assigned studies with discrepant quality ratings to a third reviewer and discussed them until we reached consensus. The overall body of evidence for each key question is rated33 and summarized35 in a systematic review used by the USPSTF in making their recommendations for preventive services.

Data Synthesis and Analysis

Meta-analysis

When appropriate, we performed a series of metaanalyses that included new trials identified from this search, as well as from studies identified from the previous review, to estimate the effect of treatment on preterm delivery (<37 weeks, <34 weeks, or <32 weeks); low birthweight; and preterm, premature rupture of membranes. The primary measure of effect of bacterial vaginosis treatment was the absolute risk reduction, which is the difference in proportions of these pregnancy outcomes between the control and treatment group (control minus treatment). We calculated the absolute risk reduction and its SE for each study and used that as the measure of treatment effect. An absolute risk reduction of zero indicated no treatment effect or no difference between the treatment and control groups for adverse pregnancy outcomes. A positive absolute risk reduction favored treatment, indicating that women receiving treatment for bacterial vaginosis have fewer adverse pregnancy outcomes, whereas a negative absolute risk reduction favored placebo, indicating reduced adverse pregnancy outcomes for those not being treated.

We stratified analyses by risk group (low, average, or high) and pooled them separately to provide a combined estimate of absolute risk reduction and its 95% CI for each group. We used a random-effects model to account for heterogeneity among studies.36,37 Estimates from a random-effects model would be the same as those from a fixed-effect model if no heterogeneity were found. We used a standard chi-square test to test for heterogeneity and calculated I2 statistics38 to quantify the magnitude of heterogeneity. Substantial heterogeneity is evident when P is less than 0.10 and I2 is greater than 50%. We did not pool absolute risk reductions from the high-risk group studies, because we considered the estimates to be too heterogeneous owing to inconsistent treatment effects.

We performed a sensitivity analysis to address the effect of study quality by excluding trials with a Jadad score of 2 or less. Excluding the trial deemed weak for internal validity did not change combined estimates. We also assessed publication bias by using funnel plots and the Egger linear regression method.39 No publication bias was detected by these methods; however, their interpretation is limited by the small number of trials.40 All analyses were performed by using Stata, version 9.0 (Stata, College Station, Texas).

Outcomes Table on Benefits and Harms

To provide a clinical interpretation of results, we used data derived from the meta-analysis to construct an updated projected outcomes table summarizing estimates of the benefits and harms of screening for bacterial vaginosis in 1000 women at high risk for preterm delivery. These calculations include effect size data from the current meta-analyses and other assumptions about the population of interest (Appendix).

Role of the Funding Source

This research was funded by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality under a contract to support the work of the USPSTF. Agency staff and USPSTF members participated in the initial scope of this work and reviewed interim analyses and the final report. We distributed additional reports to content experts for review. Agency approval was required before this manuscript could be submitted for publication, but the authors are solely responsible for the content and the decision to submit it.

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One hundred ninety-four full-text papers were retrieved and screened for eligibility for all key questions.Figure 2 details the search and selection process from the initial title and abstract review, full-text review with reasons for exclusion, and a final count of included studies for each key question. Demographic, treatment, and outcome data, as well as quality assessment information on included studies, are found in Appendix Table 6. Typically, we excluded studies at the paper level because of study design (not a randomized, controlled trial) or sample (such as inclusion of symptomatic pregnant women) or because data on multiple infections with bacterial vaginosis were not separated from data on other infections.

Screening of Pregnant Women Who Are Asymptomatic for Bacterial Vaginosis

We did not identify any studies that compared pregnancy outcomes for women who are asymptomatic for bacterial vaginosis in a screened population versus a nonscreened population.

Treatment of Pregnant Women Who Are Asymptomatic for Bacterial Vaginosis

We found 8 systematic reviews and meta-analyses of bacterial vaginosis treatment in pregnant women published since the 2001 report.7,41-47 Because the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the identified systematic reviews and meta-analyses differed from our approach, we decided to use these reviews as source documents only and retrieve relevant, original articles studied in these papers. For example, several reviews assessed studies as good-quality when randomization methods or risk status of the women were unknown, whereas other studies included co-infection groups or symptomatic women.

Seven new randomized, controlled trials48-54 were included in the area of treatment of asymptomatic pregnant women with bacterial vaginosis (Appendix Table 6). All trials treated asymptomatic pregnant women for vaginal syndromes, randomly assigned women to treatment or placebo or no treatment, and provided data for adverse pregnancy outcomes. Studies were stratified by risk (low, average, or high) for preterm delivery. Typically, author definition of risk level matched that of the reviewers. All studies excluded symptomatic women and women having a multiple pregnancy.

Treatment in Low-Risk Women

The previous review did not identify any low-risk treatment trials, whereas our review identified 3 new randomized, controlled trials48-50 that provided outcome data for delivery before 37 weeks. Two trials in Finland48,49 screened women and treated them with 1 round of vaginal clindamycin before 17 weeks of gestation, whereas the South African study50 administered 2 rounds of oral metronidazole later in pregnancy (400 mg twice daily for 2 days at 15 to 25 weeks of gestation). Two of the 3 studies reported co-infection; 1 had a bacteriuria rate of approximately 12%, and showed no differences between the treatment and control groups,50 and 1 had a Chlamydia trachomatis rate of 3% and provided no details on distribution relative to the treatment or placebo group.48 Meta-analyses of the 3 trials showed no effect of treatment for delivery before 37 weeks (absolute risk reduction, -0.019 [CI, -0.056 to 0.018]) (Figure 3) and no significant heterogeneity (P = 0.57, I2 = 0%). The South African study was the only study of the 3 to report on delivery before 34 and 28 weeks and intrauterine, neonatal or perinatal death, finding no effect.50 Details regarding clinician knowledge of group allocation were not provided for the South African trial,50 although in another study,49 a high random assignment refusal rate among bacterial vaginosis-positive women was linked to knowledge of diagnostic results. Overall, in reviewing these fair-quality treatment trials, we found no evidence of clinical benefit for treating low-risk pregnant women who are asymptomatic for bacterial vaginosis.

Treatment in the General Population (Average-Risk Women)

We found 4 new treatment trials51-54 of women at average risk for delivery before 37 weeks that met our inclusion criteria and contributed additional pregnancy outcome data to the original 2001 meta-analysis. These studies are considered average risk because they are general population studies that include a mix of women at low and high risk for delivery before 37 weeks. All new trials administered at least 1 round of treatment with 2% vaginal clindamycin cream; 1 used 1 round only,51 2 administered the same regimen for subsequent rounds,53,54 and 1 used oral clindamycin on the second round of treatment.52

Two population-based treatment trials screened a predominantly white group of asymptomatic pregnant women for bacterial vaginosis in Sweden54 or multiple infections in Austria.52 In the largest of the trials,54 819 women in nonhospital clinics received a positive diagnosis for bacterial vaginosis (Gram stain Nugent score, 6 to 10) and then received either vaginal cream or no treatment. No treatment benefit was demonstrated for delivery before 37 weeks (absolute risk reduction, -0.003 [CI, -0.024 to 0.019]).54 The other infection screening and treatment program included screening for multiple vaginal abnormalities, using a more liberal Gram stain Nugent score (4 to 10) to diagnose bacterial vaginosis in 297 women.52 Although the authors report that the treatment group had significantly fewer births at 37 weeks than those who received placebo, a post hoc analysis by infection type shows that the main effect for treatment was due to candidiasis, not bacterial vaginosis (absolute risk reduction for data on bacterial vaginosis only, 0.022 [CI, -0.025 to 0.070]).

Two additional average-risk bacterial vaginosis treatment trials in the United Kingdom53 and Italy51 report differential treatment effects for delivery before 37 weeks in bacterial vaginosis-positive women treated with 2% clindamycin cream. Lamont and colleagues' well-executed hospital clinic trial of 409 women in the United Kingdom at 13 to 20 weeks of gestation reports on a sample comprising 70% white and 15% black women.53 This is the only trial we reviewed in which caregivers and patients were blinded for both rounds of treatment. The women who received treatment were less likely than those who received placebo to deliver before 37 weeks (absolute risk reduction, 0.055 [CI, 0.003 to 0.108]).53 The average-risk trial from Italy showed no difference in delivery before 37 weeks (absolute risk reduction, 0.034 [CI, -0.101 to 0.170]); however, the study has considerable threats to internal validity:51 Randomization methods were not standard or well described, women and caregivers were not blinded, and concurrent vaginal syndromes were likely.

An updated meta-analysis pooling the new average-risk treatment trials51-54 with those reviewed in 200155-58 showed no treatment benefit for delivery before 37 weeks (absolute risk reduction, 0.006 [CI, .0.009 to 0.022]), and no significant heterogeneity was detected (P = 0.36, I2 = 9.6%) (Figure 3). Excluding the trial we deemed weak for internal validity51 did not change combined estimates (Figure 3).

Only 1 new average-risk study explored delivery before 34 weeks and before 32 weeks; no statistically significant results were found.54 When combined with the 2 studies55-57 from the previous report, pooled data reveal no treatment effect for delivery before 32 weeks (absolute risk reduction, 0.001 [CI, .0.008 to 0.010]) (Figure 4). Newly identified average-risk trials reported conflicting results for low birthweight,51,53,54 and when combined with the studies in the 2001 report (55-58), the pooled estimate for the 7 trials showed no effect of treatment for low birthweight (absolute risk reduction, 0.000 [CI, .0.018 to 0.018]) (Figure 5). Again, no significant heterogeneity was detected (P = 0.16; I2 = 35%), and excluding the trial with compromised internal validity did not change combined estimates. For the outcome of preterm, premature rupture of membranes, 1 new average-risk trial51 reported a trend toward an adverse effect of treatment; however, it was not statistically significant. When combined with the previously reviewed studies for this outcome,55,57,58 pooled results indicated no treatment effect (absolute risk reduction, .0.006 [CI, .0.030 to 0.018]) (Figure 5).

We found several issues related to threats to internal validity that were common to the new average-risk trials, especially where blinding was not apparent or was clearly not achieved.51,52,54 Only 1 study[53]] reported blinding of care providers and patients throughout the study; the investigators administered placebo cream on both rounds of treatment. Lamont and colleagues' study53 was the only new study to show a treatment effect for any pregnancy outcome (delivery <37 weeks), and pooled results for all outcomes showed no treatment effects. The definition of bacterial vaginosis or abnormal vaginal flora also varied in these studies; however, findings confirm the results of the previous review, showing no pooled treatment effects for any adverse pregnancy outcomes in women who are asymptomatic for bacterial vaginosis in the general population.30 Similar to women at low risk for preterm delivery, the general population seems to lack any clear clinical benefit from screening and treatment for asymptomatic bacterial vaginosis during pregnancy.

Treatment in High-Risk Women

We identified 1 new study50 since the 2001 report that recruited pregnant women with a history of preterm labor or midtrimester miscarriage who were at high risk for delivery before 37 weeks. In hospital clinics in South Africa, 127 asymptomatic women (86% unmarried; mean age, 27.5 years) at 15 to 26 weeks of gestation who tested positive for bacterial vaginosis were treated with up to 2 rounds of oral metronidazole (400 mg twice daily for 2 days) or 100 mg of vitamin C placebo. Bacterial vaginosis persisted in 30% of the treatment group that was positive for bacterial vaginosis, and an additional 2-day regimen of metronidazole was provided. Findings reveal a significant adverse effect of treatment on delivery before 37 weeks, indicating that treatment of bacterial vaginosis increased the chance of preterm delivery (absolute risk reduction, -0.193 [CI, -0.358 to -0.029]).50 We did not pool the results with data from the 2001 report because of substantial heterogeneity among the trials (P = 0.001; I2 = 82%) and inconsistency in the direction of effects. In short, 3 studies in high-risk women showed benefit,58-60 1 reported significant harm50, and 1 reported no benefit (Figure 3).57 Go to Table 1 for detailed abstraction of these studies.

The new high-risk trial also provides data for the outcome of delivery before 34 weeks, showing no treatment effect (absolute risk reduction, -0.125 [CI, -0.259 to 0.009]).50 Pooling the outcome data for delivery before 34 weeks from the new trial50 with the data from the high-risk studies in the 2001 report57,59,61 indicates no significant treatment effect (absolute risk reduction, 0.006 [CI, -0.067 to 0.079]) (Figure 4). We found no significant heterogeneity for this outcome (P = 0.22; I2 = 30%). Data for low birthweight and preterm, premature rupture of membranes were not available for the new high-risk study.50 We found statistically significant heterogeneity among the trials identified for the 2001 report for both low birthweight (P = 0.042; I2 = 69%) and preterm, premature rupture of membranes (P = 0.001; I2 = 86%); for this reason, and because of the inconsistent harmful and beneficial treatment effects, we did not pool the results for these 2 outcomes (Figure 5).

Summary of Benefits and Harms

We developed an outcomes table (Table 2) to provide an updated clinical interpretation of results for the USPSTF. In looking at the high-risk group, we used data derived from the meta-analysis50,57-60 and specific assumptions to approximate the benefits and harms of screening for bacterial vaginosis in 1000 women at high risk for preterm delivery. Estimates are from studies with a baseline preterm delivery rate of less than 30%50,57 for the general high-risk group and greater than 30%58-60 for the more selected high-risk group. These projections suggest that although a subgroup of high-risk women may benefit from screening and treatment for bacterial vaginosis in pregnancy, a sizeable group would receive either no benefit or may experience harm. The Appendix provides outcomes table methodology, and the Appendix Figure shows how the calculations were performed.

In the general high-risk population of 1000 women screened, 238 would receive a correct diagnosis of bacterial vaginosis (assuming 95% accuracy of diagnostic testing), and 190 of these women would successfully complete therapy (assuming 80% adherence). Given these assumptions, we calculate that screening and treating for bacterial vaginosis would result in 24 additional deliveries before 37 weeks (CI, 2 to 45 additional deliveries); 7 additional cases of preterm, premature rupture of membranes (CI, 8 fewer to 22 additional cases); and 7 additional deliveries before 34 weeks (CI, 11 fewer to 25 additional deliveries). Given the data and assumptions for the more selected high-risk group, projections show that screening and treatment would result in an estimated 44 fewer deliveries before 37 weeks (CI, 22 to 64 fewer deliveries); 45 fewer cases of preterm, premature rupture of membranes (CI, 22 to 68 fewer cases); and 13 fewer cases of delivery before 34 weeks (CI, 33 fewer to 7 additional cases) per 1000 women screened. These findings are consistent with conclusions from the 2001 report.

For the most adverse outcomes, sensitivity analyses show that the accuracy of a reasonable screening test did not change the conclusion of the projected outcomes table. For example, assuming a sensitivity of 80% (instead of 95% as in the above example) for the general high-risk population, screening and treatment results in 20 additional deliveries before 37 weeks (CI, 2 to 38 additional deliveries) and 6 additional cases of preterm, premature rupture of membranes (CI, 7 fewer to 18 additional cases), compared with 24 and 7 additional cases, respectively. Because we assumed a potential increase in delivery before 34 weeks in bacterial vaginosis-negative patients who received treatment, on the basis of data from Hauth and colleagues,60 the effect of screening on delivery before 34 weeks is moderately sensitive to changes in the accuracy of the screening test. For example, in the more selected high-risk group, we estimate that screening and treatment would result in only 7 fewer cases (CI, 27 fewer to 13 additional cases) of delivery before 34 weeks if the specificity of the screening test for bacterial vaginosis is 80%, compared with 13 fewer cases at a specificity of 95%.

Adverse Effects of Screening or Treatment

We found no studies that directly addressed the adverse effects of screening pregnant women who are asymptomatic for bacterial vaginosis. However, the effects of treatment on women who received an incorrect diagnosis of bacterial vaginosis can provide information on the effect of false-positive test results. None of the 7 new treatment trials included in this review provides data on bacterial vaginosis-negative women receiving treatment. In 2 studies identified in the previous review, bacterial vaginosis-negative women who received antibiotics had more deliveries before 34 weeks than those not given antibiotics; this was statistically significant in 1 study61 and borderline statistically significant in the other.60 In addition, 1 study reported a statistically significantly greater frequency of neonatal sepsis.61

One of the 7 treatment trials identified and screened for adverse effects showed an adverse treatment effect for women at high risk for preterm delivery. As noted earlier, asymptomatic pregnant women with a history of preterm labor or midtrimester miscarriage who received metronidazole had a greater chance of preterm delivery than those who received a vitamin C placebo.50 None of the other trials showed statistically significant adverse effects for pregnancy outcomes due to treatment. Adverse effects in the form of treatment tolerability or side effects varied. One study52 stated that no patients reported adverse reactions to vaginal cream, whereas 3 studies49,50,53 did not report any data on adverse tolerability effects. A trial of vaginal clindamycin reported adverse treatment effects in the form of 3 patient withdrawals due to persistent vulvovaginal itching54, whereas another trial48 reported that this side effect occurred with similar frequency in treatment (3.21%) and placebo groups (3.19%).

 
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Preterm birth rates have increased in the past decade,62 and strong epidemiologic evidence has suggested an association between bacterial vaginosis and preterm birth. After decades of research and with heightened awareness of measuring potential adverse effects of medications, evidence is emerging that the drug being used to treat bacterial vaginosis may, at some doses and for some populations, be triggering adverse pregnancy outcomes. At the same time, evidence suggests that inherent differences in populations, such as previous pregnancy complications, gestational age, ethnicity, or co-infection, may also influence which women are helped or harmed by screening and treatment for bacterial vaginosis. New treatment trial data pooled with 2001 report data showed no benefit to screening and treating women who are asymptomatic for bacterial vaginosis if they had a low or average risk for preterm delivery for the outcomes of delivery before 37, 34, or 32 weeks; preterm, premature rupture of membranes; or low birthweight. Results from the studies of women at high risk for preterm delivery are heterogeneous and conflicting. For the outcome of delivery before 37 weeks, 3 of the 5 trials reported a significant treatment benefit, 1 showed significant treatment harm, and 1 showed no benefit (Figure 3). Other reviews have similarly reported no treatment effect for low-risk asymptomatic pregnant women with bacterial vaginosis but suggest a potential but unclear benefit of treatment for some patients at high risk for preterm delivery.7,44,45

Although additional studies of women at high risk for preterm delivery are required to meaningfully explore heterogeneity in a meta-regression, we did examine each study for factors that may explain the variation in treatment response and potentially guide future research (Table 1). One of the clear differences among studies was the variation in baseline preterm delivery rates in the placebo group. It would have been helpful to know the overall preterm birth rate for the clinics in which the studies were conducted because this would allow the greatest opportunity for clinicians to apply results to their own practices. However, because these data were not available for most studies, we documented the preterm delivery rate in the group of bacterial vaginosis-positive women receiving placebo. Studies reporting a baseline risk greater than 30% for delivery before 37 weeks in their bacterial vaginosis-positive placebo groups favored treatment, whereas those with a risk less than 30% favored placebo (Figure 3). Although they were conducted in different countries, the new high-risk trial50 is most similar to the best-quality high-risk trial identified in the 2001 report:57 Approximately 23% of women positive for bacterial vaginosis in groups receiving placebo delivered before 37 weeks. The study in the 2001 report indicated a trend toward treatment harm for delivery before 37 weeks,57 and the new trial indicated statistically significant harm from treatment for this outcome.50 Although ethnicity is suggested as a potential factor playing a role in both bacterial vaginosis and preterm birth, our data from predominantly minority samples show disparate treatment results;57,60 reporting of race data is scarce in other trials. The detailed description of these studies do not clearly indicate which factors may explain the differences in preterm delivery rates or, potentially, the association of treatment effect; however, both raise concerns about the unintended potential for harm.

In addition, the methodological differences among studies could have led to conflicting results. Several methodological challenges arose in synthesizing this body of literature. Only 1 study provided details on blinding procedures throughout the study. Most of the trials did not report whether the women or caregivers continued to be blinded to their group allocation upon re-treatment. The potential to violate intention-to-treat by modifying the estimate of gestational age after random assignment and treatment is another weakness in study design, especially if this estimate were changed differentially in the treatment and control groups: Bias would exist if treatment were associated with a change in the gestational age estimate. However, few studies provided sufficient data on sonography timing to evaluate this factor. In addition, varying definitions of bacterial vaginosis, along with the reporting ambiguity of multiple infection status, make it difficult to meaningfully combine this research. More detailed information on these factors would create greater opportunities to assess both the contributions and potential biases of the studies.

Metronidazole treatment has been associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes in certain subgroups. However, studies to date of bacterial vaginosis in asymptomatic pregnant women have not provided sufficient numbers or details to identify the specific factors playing the most prominent role for harms or benefits. Clinicians need to remain vigilant to the potential harmful effects of bacterial vaginosis treatments, because no screening test is 100% accurate. Researchers are in an uncomfortable position of uncertainty, balancing the ethics of continuing potentially risky investigations with the possibility of substantial benefit. Only when multiple, well-executed studies consistently point to the same subgroups showing benefits or harms does confidence increase that such differences are real.62 More research is needed to better understand these groups and the conditions under which treatment can be harmful or helpful and to explore relevance to other adverse pregnancy outcomes, including preterm delivery before 34 weeks.

 
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Current Author Addresses

Peggy Nygren, MA: Oregon Heath & Science University, 3181 SW Sam Jackson Road, Portland, OR 97239. 
Rongwei Fu, PhD: Oregon Health & Science University, 3181 SW Sam Jackson Road, Portland, OR 97239
Michele Freeman, MPH: Oregon Health & Science University, 3181 SW Sam Jackson Road, Portland, OR 97239
Christina Bougatsos, BS: Oregon Health & Science University, 3181 SW Sam Jackson Road, Portland, OR 97239
Mark Klebanoff, MD, MPH:National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, 6100 Executive Boulevard, Room 7B05F, MSC 7510, Bethesda, MD 20892
Jeanne-Marie Guise, MD, MPH: Oregon Health & Science University, 3181 SW Sam Jackson Road, Portland, OR 97239

Disclaimer

The authors of this article are responsible for its contents, including any clinical or treatment recommendations. No statement in this article should be construed as an official position of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

Potential Conflicts of Interest

No investigators have any affiliations or financial involvement (e.g., employment, consultancies, honoraria, stock options, expert testimony, rants or patents received or pending, or royalties) that conflict with material presented in this article.

Copyright and Source Information

This document is in the public domain within the United States.

Requests for linking or to incorporate content in electronic resources should be sent via the USPSTF contact form.

Source: Nygren P, Fu R, Freeman M, Bougatsos C, Klebanoff M, Guise JM. Evidence on the benefits and harms of screening and treating pregnant women who are asymptomatic for bacterial vaginosis: an update review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Ann Intern Med 2008;148(3):220-33.

Acknowledgment

The authors thank Andrew Hamilton, MLS, MS, for conducting the literature searches, and USPSTF leads Kimberly Gregory, MD, MPH, Lucy Marion, PhD, RN, and Diana Petitti, MD, MPH, and AHRQ officers Iris Mabry, MD, MPH and Mary Barton, MD, MPP, for their guidance on this project.

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  2. Amsel R, Totten PA, Spiegel CA, Chen KC, Eschenbach D, Holmes KK. Nonspecific vaginitis. Diagnostic criteria and microbial and epidemiologic associations. Am J Med 1983;74:14-22. [PMID: 6600371]
  3. Gravett MG, Nelson HP, DeRouen T, Critchlow C, Eschenbach DA, Holmes KK. Independent associations of bacterial vaginosis and Chlamydia trachomatis infection with adverse pregnancy outcome. JAMA 1986;256:1899-903. [PMID: 3761496]
  4. Gravett MG, Hummel D, Eschenbach DA, Holmes KK. Preterm labor associated with subclinical amniotic fluid infection and with bacterial vaginosis. Obstet Gynecol 1986;67:229-37. [PMID: 3003634]
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  20. Guerra B, Ghi T, Quarta S, Morselli-Labate AM, Lazzarotto T, Pilu G, et al. Pregnancy outcome after early detection of bacterial vaginosis. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol 2006;128:40-5. [PMID: 16460868]
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  23. Goldenberg RL, Klebanoff MA, Nugent R, Krohn MA, Hillier S, Andrews WW. Bacterial colonization of the vagina during pregnancy in four ethnic groups. Vaginal Infections and Prematurity Study Group. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1996;174:1618-21. [PMID: 9065140]
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  26. Tolosa JE, Chaithongwongwatthana S, Daly S, Maw WW, Gaita'n H, Lumbiganon P, et al. The International Infections in Pregnancy (IIP) study: variations in the prevalence of bacterial vaginosis and distribution of morphotypes in vaginal smears among pregnant women. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2006;195: 1198-204. [PMID: 17074543]
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  29. Guise JM, Mahon S, Aickin M, Helfand M. Screening for Bacterial Vaginosis in Pregnancy. Systematic Evidence Review No. 1. Agency for Healthcare, Research, and Quality. Publication No. 01-S001. Rockville, MD: 2001.
  30. Guise JM, Mahon SM, Aickin M, Helfand M, Peipert JF, Westhoff C. Screening for bacterial vaginosis in pregnancy. Am J Prev Med 2001;20:62-72. [PMID: 11306234]
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  35. Nygren P, Bougatsos C, Freeman M, Helfand M. Screening and Treatment for Bacterial Vaginosis in Pregnancy: Systematic Review to Update the 2001 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. Evidence Synthesis No. 57. AHRQ Publication No. 08-05106-EF-1. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; 2008.
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  41. Okun N, Gronau KA, Hannah ME. Antibiotics for bacterial vaginosis or Trichomonas vaginalis in pregnancy: a systematic review. Obstet Gynecol 2005; 105:857-68. [PMID: 15802417]
  42. Riggs MA, Klebanoff MA. Treatment of vaginal infections to prevent preterm birth: a meta-analysis. Clin Obstet Gynecol 2004;47:796-807; discussion 881-2. [PMID: 15596934]
  43. Koumans EH, Markowitz LE, Hogan V; CDC BV Working Group. Indications for therapy and treatment recommendations for bacterial vaginosis in nonpregnant and pregnant women: a synthesis of data. Clin Infect Dis 2002;35: S152-72. [PMID: 12353202]
  44. Leitich H, Brunbauer M, Bodner-Adler B, Kaider A, Egarter C, Husslein P. Antibiotic treatment of bacterial vaginosis in pregnancy: a meta-analysis. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2003;188:752-8. [PMID: 12634652]
  45. Thinkhamrop J, Hofmeyr GJ, Adetoro O, Lumbiganon P. Prophylactic antibiotic administration in pregnancy to prevent infectious morbidity and mortality. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2002:CD002250. [PMID: 12519571]
  46. Tebes CC, Lynch C, Sinnott J. The effect of treating bacterial vaginosis on preterm labor. Infect Dis Obstet Gynecol 2003;11:123-9. [PMID: 14627219]
  47. Varma R, Gupta JK. Antibiotic treatment of bacterial vaginosis in pregnancy: multiple meta-analyses and dilemmas in interpretation. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol 2006;124:10-4. [PMID: 16129546]
  48. Kekki M, Kurki T, Pelkonen J, Kurkinen-Räty M, Cacciatore B, Paavonen J. Vaginal clindamycin in preventing preterm birth and peripartal infections in asymptomatic women with bacterial vaginosis: a randomized, controlled trial. Obstet Gynecol 2001;97:643-8. [PMID: 11339909]
  49. Kurkinen-Räty M, Vuopala S, Koskela M, Kekki M, Kurki T, Paavonen J, et al. A randomised controlled trial of vaginal clindamycin for early pregnancy bacterial vaginosis. BJOG 2000;107:1427-32. [PMID: 11117774]
  50. Odendaal HJ, Popov I, Schoeman J, Smith M, Grové D. Preterm labour—is bacterial vaginosis involved? S Afr Med J 2002;92:231-4. [PMID: 12040953]
  51. Guaschino S, Ricci E, Franchi M, Frate GD, Tibaldi C, Santo DD, et al. Treatment of asymptomatic bacterial vaginosis to prevent pre-term delivery: a randomised trial. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol 2003;110:149-52. [PMID: 12969574]
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  55. McGregor JA, French JI, Jones W, Milligan K, McKinney PJ, Patterson E, et al. Bacterial vaginosis is associated with prematurity and vaginal fluid mucinase and sialidase: results of a controlled trial of topical clindamycin cream. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1994;170:1048-59; discussion 1059-60. [PMID: 8166188]
  56. Joesoef MR, Hillier SL, Wiknjosastro G, Sumampouw H, Linnan M, Norojono W, et al. Intravaginal clindamycin treatment for bacterial vaginosis: effects on preterm delivery and low birth weight. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1995; 173:1527-31. [PMID: 7503196]
  57. Carey JC, Klebanoff MA, Hauth JC, Hillier SL, Thom EA, Ernest JM, et al. Metronidazole to prevent preterm delivery in pregnant women with asymptomatic bacterial vaginosis. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Network of Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units. N Engl J Med 2000; 342:534-40. [PMID: 10684911]
  58. McDonald HM, O'Loughlin JA, Vigneswaran R, Jolley PT, Harvey JA, Bof A, et al. Impact of metronidazole therapy on preterm birth in women with bacterial vaginosis flora (Gardnerella vaginalis): a randomised, placebo controlled trial. Br J Obstet Gynaecol 1997;104:1391-7. [PMID: 9422018]
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Select Text Description below for details

[D] Select for Text Description.

A flow chart depicts the analytic framework for this review.

At the top of the chart is a line with a circle above it labeled "KQ1" for "key question #1. The line connects a rectangle on the far left-hand side of the chart, which describes the population under study, with a rectangle on the right-hand side, which lists the hoped-for reduction in adverse outcomes.

The rectangle on the far left contains the following description of the population:

Asymptomatic pregnant women:
  1. Low risk for preterm delivery
  2. Average risk for preterm delivery
  3. High risk for preterm delivery

An arrow labeled "Screening" points from the rectangle to the right, to a lozenge-shaped box labled "Bacterial vaginosis."

A second arrow branches off from the first arrow and points downward to an oval labeled "Adverse effects." This oval refers to the adverse effects of screening.

A third arrow proceeds to the right from the lozenge labeled "Bacterial vaginosis." This arrow has a circle above it labeled "KQ2" for "key question #2.

A fourth arrow branches off from the third arrow and points downward to a second oval labeled "Adverse effects." This oval refers to the adverse effects of treatment.

The fouth arrow points to the rectangle on the far right, which lists the hoped-for reduction in adverse outcomes as follows:

Reduction in adverse pregnancy outcomes:
Endometritis/neonatal sepsis
Low birthweight
Perinatal mortality
Preterm delivery
Preterm, premature rupture of membranes
Spontaneous abortion

The "Critical key questions" are listed at the bottom of the chart:

  1. Does screening for bacterial vaginosis during pregnancy in asymptomatic pregnant women reduce adverse pregnancy outcomes for those at:
    1. Low risk for preterm delivery?
    2. Average risk for preterm delivery?
    3. High risk for preterm delivery?
  2. Does treatment of bacterial vaginosis during pregnancy in asymptomatic pregnant women reduce adverse pregnancy outcomes for those at:
    1. Low risk for preterm delivery?
    2. Average risk for preterm delivery?
    3. High risk for preterm delivery?
  3. What adverse effects does the screening and/or treatment of bacterial vaginosis have on pregnancy outcomes?

 

Critical key questions:

  1. Does screening for bacterial vaginosis during pregnancy in asymptomatic pregnant women reduce adverse pregnancy outcomes for those at:
    1. Low risk for preterm delivery?
    2. Average risk for preterm delivery?
    3. High risk for preterm delivery?
  2. Does treatment of bacterial vaginosis during pregnancy in asymptomatic pregnant women reduce adverse pregnancy outcomes for those at:
    1. Low risk for preterm delivery?
    2. Average risk for preterm delivery?
    3. High risk for preterm delivery?
  3. What adverse effects does the screening and/or treatment of bacterial vaginosis have on pregnancy outcomes?

Note: KQ = key question.

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Select Text Description below for details

[D] Select for Text Description.

A flow chart depicts the search results and article flow for this review. The first box at the top of the chart reads "Potentially relevant abstracts identified through MEDLINE®, pre-MEDLINE®, Cochrane Library, [followed by an asterisk (*)] and other Sources [followed by a dagger (†)] (n=653)."

A forked arrow points from this box to two boxes beneath it. One box, set to the right-hand side, reads "Abstracts excluded for such reasons as wrong study design, not relevant to topic, relevant for introductory section only, no data, non-English (n=459)." The other box, directly below the top box, reads "Full-text articles reviewed (n=194)."

A forked arrow points from the box that reads "Full-text articles reviewed (n=194)" to two boxes beneath it. One box, set to the right-hand side, reads:

"Articles excluded: (n=174)
Not an RCT: 83
Systematic review or meta-analysis source document: 14
Wrong population (e.g., symptomatic): 15
Diagnostic or screening-test related: 24
Risk factors only: 6
Not relevant to topic or no data: 21
Prevalence data only: 7
Non-English: 4"

The other box, directly below the "Full-text articles reviewed" box, reads "Articles potentially appropriate to be included (n=20)."

There are three arrows pointing from the box that reads "Full-text articles reviewed" box, reads "Articles potentially appropriate to be included (n=20)." The first, set to the right-hand side, reads:

"Articles excluded: (n=13)
Not an RCT: 5
RCT, not BV-focused: 3
Symptomatic women: 2
No BV-only group data: 3

The second box reads "Articles included for screening key question 1 (n=0)."

The third box reads "Articles included for treatment meta-analysis and adverse effects, key questions 2 and 3 (n=7)." [followed by a double dagger (‡)]

The legend at the bottom of the chart reads:

BV = bacterial vaginosis; RCT = randomized, controlled trial.
*Cochrane databases include the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects.
† Other sources include reference lists and expert suggestions.
‡ We included 7 additional studies for key question 2 and 2 for key question 3 from the 2001 report in the summary of this evidence.

BV = bacterial vaginosis; RCT = randomized, controlled trial.
*Cochrane databases include the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects.
† Other sources include reference lists and expert suggestions.
‡ We included 7 additional studies for key question 2 and 2 for key question 3 from the 2001 report in the summary of this evidence.

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Select Text Description below for details

This figure has 4 boxes across the top.

From the first box, labeled "abstracts reviewed for KQ 1a (n = 39)," an arrow goes to a box below it, labeled "Full-text articles reviewed (n = 6)." An arrow goes from that box to a box below it, labeled "Articles included (n = 4)."

Span = treatment timing spans less than 20 weeks and greater than 20 weeks.
*Baseline risk is the percentage of deliveries before 37 weeks in the placebo group. Absolute risk reduction is the difference in probability of delivery before 37 weeks (control minus treatment).
† McDonald et al.58 and Carey et al.57 performed a high-risk group subanalysis; high-risk group is included in total study population of the average-risk target group. Odendaal et al.50 included 2 target populations; high-risk and low-risk groups are 2 separate groups.

 

Study characteristics and absolute risk reduction of delivery before 37 weeks (Text Description)

Study Jadad Score Completed/ Randomized
n/n
Screening Methods & Timing
(Week of Gestation)
Baseline Riska Treatment Drug Treatment Rounds Treatment Timing Absolute Risk Reduction
(95% CI)a
Low-risk women
Kurkinen-Räty, et al., 200049 3 101/101 Gram Stain (12) 6.0 Vaginal clindamycin 1 ≤20 wk -0.077 (-0.192 to 0.038)
Kekki, et al., 200148 4 375/375 Gram Stain (10 to 17) 3.7 Vaginal clindamycin 1 ≤20 wk -0.011 (-0.052 to 0.030)
Odendaal, et al., 200250 3 148/150 Gram Stain/Amsel (15 to 25) 15.9 Oral metronidazole 2 Spana -0.023 (-0.145 to 0.099)
All trials combined               -0.019 (-0.056 to 0.018)
Average-risk women
McGregor, et al., 199455 3 129/142 Gram Stain/Amsel (16 to 27) 7.2 Vaginal clindamycin 1 Span -0.077 (-0.186 to 0.032)
Joesoef, et al., 199556 4 681/745 Gram Stain (14 to 26) 13.5 Vaginal clindamycin 1 Span -0.015 (-0.067 to 0.037)
McDonald, et al., 199758 4 480/495 Gram Stain (16 to 26) 6.3 Oral metronidazole 2 ≤20 wk 0.017 (-0.024 to 0.057)
Carey, et al., 200057 5 1919/1953 Gram Stain (16 to 23) 9.4 Oral metronidazole 2 Span 0.003 (-0.026 to 0.032)
Lamont, et al., 200353 5 368/409 Gram Stain (13 to 20) 9.8 Vaginal clindamycin 2 ≤20 wk 0.055 (0.003 to 0.108)
Guaschino, et al., 200351 2 100/112 Gram Stain (14 to 25) 15.7 Vaginal clindamycin 1 Span 0.034 (0.101 to 0.170)
Kiss, et al., 200452 4 292/297 Gram Stain (15 to 20) 5.7 Vaginal clindamycin 2 ≤20 wk 0.022 (-0.025 to 0.070)
Larsson, et al., 200654 4 819/819 Gram Stain (10 to 14) 2.4 Vaginal clindamycin 2 ≤20 wk -0.003 (-0.024 to 0.019)
Trials (Jadad Score ≥3) combined               0.006 (-0.011 to 0.023)
All trials combined               0.006 (-0.009 to 0.022)
High-risk women
Morales, et al., 199459 4 80/94 Amsel (13 to 20) 44.4 Oral metronidazole 1 ≤20 wk 0.263 (0.065 to 0.461)
Hauth, et al., 199560 4 177/177 Amsel (20 to 24) 57.1 Oral metronidazole 2 ≤20 wk 0.183 (0.027 to 0.339)
McDonald, et al., 199758,b 4 34/34 Gram Stain (16 to 26) 35.3 Oral metronidazole 1 ≤20 wk 0.294 (0.041 to 0.547)
Vermeulen and Bruinse, 199961 4 16/22 Gram Stain (20 to 26) 21.2 Vaginal clindamycin 2 ≤20 wk Not reported
Carey, et al., 200057,b 5 210/213 Gram Stain (16 to 23) 22.5 Oral metronidazole 2 Span -0.075 (-0.211 to 0.061)
Odendaal, et al., 200250,b 3 121/127 Gram Stain/Amsel (15 to 25) 23.5 Oral metronidazole 2 Span -0.193 (-0.358 to -0.029)

Span = treatment timing spans less than 20 weeks and greater than 20 weeks.
a Baseline risk is the percentage of deliveries before 37 weeks in the placebo group. Absolute risk reduction is the difference in probability of delivery before 37 weeks (control minus treatment).
b McDonald et al.58 and Carey et al.57 performed a high-risk group subanalysis; high-risk group is included in total study population of the average-risk target group. Odendaal et al.50 included 2 target populations; high-risk and low-risk groups are 2 separate groups.

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Select Text Description below for details

PTD = preterm delivery.
*McDonald et al.58 and Carey et al.57 performed a high-risk group subanalysis; high-risk group is included in total study population of the average-risk target group. Odendaal et al.50 included 2 target populations; high-risk and low-risk groups are 2 separate groups.

 

Absolute risk reduction of delivery before 34 weeks and before 32 weeks (Text Description)

Study Absolute Risk Reduction
(95% CI)
Adverse Outcome
in Placebo Group, %
PTD <34 weeks
   High-risk women
Morales, et al., 199459 0.066 (-0.054 to 0.186) 11.1
McDonald, et al., 199758,a 0.118 (-0.095 to 0.331) 17.6
Vermeulen and Bruinse, 199961 0.000 (-0.241 to 0.241) 9.1
Carey, et al., 200057,a 0.012 (-0.067 to 0.092) 10.1
Odendaal, et al., 200250,a -0.125 (-0.259 to 0.009) 11.8
   All trials combined 0.006 (-0.067 to 0.079)  
PTD <32 weeks
   Average-risk women
Joesoef, et al., 199556 -0.021 (-0.049 to 0.007) 2.7
Carey, et al., 200057 0.004 (-0.010 to 0.018) 2.6
Larsson, et al., 200654 0.002 (-0.006 to 0.011) 0.5
   All trials combined 0.001 (-0.008 to 0.010)  

PTD = preterm delivery.
a McDonald et al.58 and Carey et al.57 performed a high-risk group subanalysis; high-risk group is included in total study population of the average-risk target group. Odendaal et al.50 included 2 target populations; high-risk and low-risk groups are 2 separate groups.

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Select Text Description below for details

*McDonald et al.58 and Carey et al.57 performed a high-risk group subanalysis; high-risk group is included in total study population of the average-risk target group.

 

Absolute risk reduction of low birthweight and preterm, premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) (Text Description)

Study Absolute Risk Reduction
(95% CI)
Adverse Outcome
in Placebo Group, %
Low birthweight (<2500 g)
   Average-risk women
McGregor, et al., 199455 -0.092 (-0.192 to 0.008) 4.4
Joesoef, et al., 199556 -0.021 (-0.062 to 0.020) 6.8
McDonald, et al., 199758 -0.003 (-0.039 to 0.033) 4.2
Carey, et al., 200057 0.005 (-0.024 to 0.034) 11.4
Lamont, et al., 200353 -0.022 (-0.081 to 0.036) 7.8
Guaschino, et al., 200351 0.076 (-0.040 to 0.192) 13.7
Larsson, et al., 200654 0.015 (-0.0004 to 0.030) 1.9
   Trials (Jadad Score ≥3) combined -0.001 (-0.019 to 0.016)  
   All trials combined -0.000 (-0.018 to 0.016)  
   High-risk women
Morales, et al., 199459 0.197 (0.006 to 0.388) 33.3
McDonald, et al., 199758 a 0.235 (-0.039 to 0.5091) 35.3
Carey, et al., 200057 a -0.040 (-0.156 to 0.076) 22.0
PPROM
   Average-risk women
McGregor, et al., 199455 -0.006 (-0.080 to 0.068) 4.4
McDonald, et al., 199758 0.017 (-0.015 to 0.049) 4.2
Carey, et al., 200057 -0.014 (-0.031 to 0.003) 3.7
Guaschino, et al., 200351 -0.084 (-0.201 to 0.033) 5.9
   Trials (Jadad Score ≥3) combined -0.004 (-0.025 to 0.017)  
   All trials combined 0.006 (-0.030 to 0.018)  
   High-risk women
Morales, et al., 199459 0.288 (0.122 to 0.454) 33.3
McDonald, et al., 199758 a 0.176 (-0.006 to 0.358) 17.6
Carey, et al., 200057 a -0.036 (-0.114 to 0.042) 7.3

a McDonald et al.58 and Carey et al.57 performed a high-risk group subanalysis; high-risk group is included in total study population of the average-risk target group.

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Characteristics of Studies of Women at High Risk for Delivery Before 37 Weeksa

 

Study, Year (Reference) Country: Setting Raceb High-Risk Criteria History of >1 PTD Treatment Regimen Rounds, n Methods of Bacterial Vaginosis Diagnosis Gestational Age at Treatment, wk Delivery <37 Weeks in Untreated Bacterial Vaginosis-
Positive
Women, %
Delivery <37 Weeks in
Treated
Bacterial Vaginosis-
Positive
Women, %
Carey et al., 200057 c United States; university, multicenter White, 14.8%; black, 69.5%; Hispanic, 15.7% PTD history NR Oral metronidazole, 2g repeated at 48 h 2 Gram stain 16- 24 22.5 30.0
Hauth et al., 199560 United States; university, Alabama Black, 73.6% PTD history or prepregnancy weight <50 kg NR Oral metronidazole, 250 mg 3 times/d for 7 d + Oral erythromycin, 333 mg 3 times/d for 14 d 2 Amsel criteria ≥20 57.1 38.8
McDonald et al., 199758 c Australia, 4 metropolitan area perinatal centers White, 87.4%; Asian, 8.6%; aboriginal/ Torres Strait islander, 1% PTD history NR Oral metronidazole 400 mg 2 times/d for 2d 2 Gram stain >20 35.3 5.9
Morales et al., 199459 United States; university, Baltimore Black, 47.5% Penultimate pregnancy, PTD from idiopathic PTL, or PPROM 50% treatment, 39% control Oral metronidazole, 250 mg 3 times/d for 7 d 1 Amsel criteria ≤20 44.4 18.1
Odendaal et al., 200250 d South Africa; tertiary academic hospital NR PTD history or midtrimester abortion NR Oral metronidazole, 400 mg 2 times/d for 2 d 2 Gram stain + Amsel criteria 15 to 26 23.5 42.9
Vermeulenand Bruinse., 199961 Netherlands; 12 city hospitals NR PTD history, penultimate pregnancy, PPROM 8% treatment, 8% controle Vaginal clindamycin for 7 d Gram stain ≥20 NR NR NR

 

a NR = not reported; PPROM = preterm, premature rupture of membranes; PTD = preterm delivery; PTL = preterm labor.
b Data for race reflect the total population in each study, which may include women without bacterial vaginosis or history of PTD.
c Carey et al.57 and McDonald et al.58 performed subgroup analyses of high-risk women positive for bacterial vaginosis. These women are included in the total population of average-risk women in these respective studies.
d Odendaal et al.50 included 2 distinct populations: low-risk women (e.g., primigravidae) and high-risk women (e.g., those with a history of PTD or midtrimester abortion).
e Includes women both positive and negative for bacterial vaginosis.

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Outcomes Table: Benefits and Harms of Screening 1000 Pregnant Women at High Risk for Bacterial Vaginosisa

Benefit and Relevant Factors General High-Risk Group (95% CI)b More Selected High-Risk Group (95% CI)c

Assumptions and estimates

Prevalence of bacterial vaginosis in population

0.25

0.25

Sensitivity of screening test

0.95

0.95

Specificity of screening test

0.95

0.95

Adherence to treatment

0.80

0.80

Effect sizes in patients with bacterial vaginosisd

Delivery <37 weeks

-0.125 (-0.239 to -0.010)50,57 e

+0.229 (+0.118 to +0.339)58,60 e

Preterm, premature rupture of membranes

-0.036 (-0.114 to +0.042)57 e

+0.237 (+0.115 to +0.360)58,59 e

Delivery <34 weeks

-0.033 (-0.126 to +0.060)50,57 e

+0.079 (-0.026 to +0.183)58,59 e

Effect sizes in patients without bacterial vaginosisd

Delivery <37 weeks

0.00

0.00

Preterm premature rupture of membranes

0.00

0.00

Delivery <34 weeks

-0.02

-0.06

Results, n

Unsuspected bacterial vaginosis

250

250

No bacterial vaginosis

750

750

Correctly diagnosed as having bacterial vaginosis

238

238

Has bacterial vaginosis and has completed therapy

190

190

Incorrectly diagnosed as having bacterial vaginosis

38

38

No bacterial vaginosis and has completed therapy

30

30

Has bacterial vaginosis and missed or did not complete therapy

60

60

Outcomes

Delivery <37 weeks

-24 (-45 to -2)

+44 (+22 to +64)

Preterm, premature rupture of membranes

-7 (-22 to +8)

+45 (+22 to +68)

Delivery <34 weeks

-7 (-25 to +11)

+13 (-7 to +33)

a The proportion of all patients who meet the criteria for high risk varies with practice setting, patient population, and the criteria used to define high risk. A negative sign (-) indicates a net increase in adverse outcomes (harm), whereas a positive sign (+) indicates a net decrease in adverse outcomes (benefit).
b Preterm delivery baseline risk <30%.
c Preterm delivery baseline risk >30%.
d Probability in control group—probability in treated group.
e We used effect size data from high-risk studies where available for specific outcomes.

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As described in the earlier report,29-30 we performed this computation with 2 populations at high risk for preterm delivery, based on the placebo groups' baseline risk for delivery before 37 weeks. The general high-risk population has a baseline risk of less than 30% for delivery before 37 weeks, whereas the more selected high-risk population has a baseline risk of greater than 30%. In the outcomes table, the case for the general high-risk population incorporates the mean and 95% CIs from 2 high-risk studies in which approximately 23% of the bacterial vaginosis-positive women in the placebo group delivered before 37 weeks50,57 for the listed outcomes. The second scenario, for the more selected high-risk population, incorporates the pooled results of the other 3 high-risk studies,58-60 in which the percentage of bacterial vaginosis-positive women in the placebo groups who delivered before 37 weeks is greater than 30% (Table 2). The effect sizes of treatment on bacterial vaginosis-positive pregnant women are therefore based on this review.

We assumed the prevalence of unsuspected bacterial vaginosis to be 25%, both screening test sensitivity and specificity to be 95%, and adherence to treatment to be 80%. The prevalence of bacterial vaginosis in asymptomatic pregnant women has ranged from 9% to 23% in several large prospective studies.11-13,21-33 Because the outcomes table presents estimates based on high-risk women, it is reasonable to assume that the prevalence of bacterial vaginosis is somewhat higher for this group. We see this as a realistic estimate of prevalence in this population, although it is not directly derived from the literature. For sensitivity and specificity, we assumed a high-quality screening test. We performed a sensitivity analysis to assess the influence of the alternative assumptions of lower sensitivity and specificity on the calculated benefits and harms as well.

Appendix Figure 1 provides an example of the calculations performed for the outcomes table, using the outcome of delivery before 34 weeks in the more selected high-risk population.

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Database Search Strategy
EBM Reviews–Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials 1) vaginosis.mp. [mp=title, original title, abstract, mesh headings, heading words, keyword]
2) (pregnan$ or labor or prematur$).mp. [mp=title, original title, abstract, mesh headings, heading words, keyword]
3) 1 and 2
EBM Reviews–Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 1) vaginosis.mp. [mp=title, abstract, full text, keywords, caption text]
2) (pregnan$ or labor or prematur$).mp. [mp=title, abstract, full text, keywords, caption text]
3) 1 and 2
EBM Reviews–Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects 1) vaginosis.mp. [mp=title, full text, keywords]
2) (pregnan$ or labor or prematur$).mp. [mp=title, full text, keywords]
3) 1 and 2
Pre-Ovid MEDLINE In-Process and Other Nonindexed Citations 1) vaginosis.mp.
2) (prematur$ or preterm$ or (pre adj term) or low birth weight$ or lbw or (spontaneous$ adj abort$)).mp. [mp=title, original title, abstract, name of substance word]
3) 1 and 2
4) pregnan$.mp. [mp=title, original title, abstract, name of substance word]
5) 1 and 4
6) 3 or 5
7) limit 6 to humans [Limit not valid; records were retained]
8) limit 7 to English language
9) limit 7 to abstracts
10) 8 or 9
11) limit 10 to yr="2000-2006"

 

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Specific Searches per Key Question*

Key Question Search Strategy
1—Screening 1) exp VAGINOSIS, BACTERIAL/di
2) vaginosis.mp.
3) exp Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/di, ep
4) 2 and 3
5) exp PREGNANCY COMPLICATIONS/ or exp PREGNANCY/
6) 1 and 5
7) exp mass screening/ or screen$.mp.
8) pregnan$.mp. [mp=title, original title, abstract, name of substance word, subject heading word]
9) 7 and 8
10) 2 and 9
11) 4 or 6 or 10
12) limit 11 to yr="2000-2006"
13) limit 12 to humans
14) limit 13 to English language
15) limit 13 to abstracts
16) 14 or 15
2—Treatment 1) exp VAGINOSIS, BACTERIAL/dt, th [Drug Therapy, Therapy]
2) vaginosis.mp.
3) exp Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/dt, th, pc
4) 2 and 3
5) exp fetal membranes, premature rupture/dt, th, pc or exp labor, premature/dt, th, pc
6) 2 and 5
7) exp PREGNANCY COMPLICATIONS/ or exp PREGNANCY/
8) 1 and 7
9) 4 or 6 or 8
10) limit 9 to yr="2000-2006"
11) limit 10 to humans
12) limit 11 to English language
13) limit 11 to abstracts
14) 12 or 13
3—Adverse Effects 1) exp pregnancy/ or exp pregnancy complications/ or exp Embryonic Structures/de
2) ((adverse$ adj5 effect$) or harm or harmed or harms or harming or defect$ or malform$).mp. [mp=title, original title, abstract, name of substance word, subject heading word]
3) clindamycin.mp. or exp Clindamycin
4) metronidazole.mp. or exp Metronidazole
5) (ae or to or po).fs.
6) 2 or 5
7) 3 or 4
8) 1 and 6 and 7
9) vaginosis.mp.
10) exp Anti-Bacterial Agents
11) exp Bacterial Infections/dh, dt, th [Diet Therapy, Drug Therapy, Therapy]
12) 10 or 11
13) 9 and 12
14) 1 and 6 and 13
15) 8 or 14
16) limit 15 to (humans and English language)

*Database: Ovid MEDLINE®.

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RCTs and Cohort Studies
Criteria
 Initial assembly of comparable groups: RCTs—adequate randomization, including concealment and whether potential confounders were distributed equally among groups; cohort studies—consideration of potential confounders with either restriction or measurement for adjustment in the analysis; consideration of inception cohorts
 Maintenance of comparable groups includes attrition, crossovers, adherence, and contamination)
 Important differential loss to follow-up or overall high loss to follow-up
 Measurements equal, reliable, and valid (includes masking of outcome assessment)
 Clear definition of interventions
 Important outcomes considered
 Analysis: adjustment for potential confounders for cohort studies, or intension-to-treat analysis for RCTs
Definition of ratings based on above criteria

  Good: Studies will be rated "good" if they meet all criteria—comparable groups are assembled initially and maintained throughout the study (follow-up at least 80%); reliable and valid measurement instruments are used and applied equally to the groups; interventions are spelled out clearly; important outcomes are considered; and appropriate attention to confounders in analysis.
  Fair: Studies will be graded "fair" if any or all of the following problems occur without the important limitations noted in the "poor" category below: Generally comparable groups are assembled initially but some question remains whether some (although not major) differences occurred in follow-up; measurement instruments are acceptable (although not the best) and generally applied equally; some but not all important outcomes are considered; and some but not all potential confounders are accounted for.
  Poor: Studies will be graded "poor" if any of the following major limitations exists: Groups assembled initially are not close to being comparable or are not maintained throughout the study; unreliable or invalid measurement instruments are used or not applied equally among groups (including not masking outcome assessment); and key confounders are given little or no attention.

 

Diagnostic Accuracy Studies
Criteria
  Screening test relevant, available for primary care, adequately described
  Study uses a credible reference standard, performed regardless of test results
  Reference standard interpreted independently of screening test
  Handles indeterminate results in a reasonable manner
  Spectrum of patients included in study
  Sample size
  Administration of reliable screening test
Definition of ratings based on above criteria

  Good: Evaluates relevant available screening test; uses a credible reference standard; interprets reference standard independently of screening test; reliability of test assessed; has few or handles indeterminate results in a reasonable manner; includes large number (more than 100) broad-spectrum patients with and without disease
  Fair: Evaluates relevant available screening test; uses reasonable although not best standard; interprets reference standard independent of screening test; moderate sample size (50 to 100) and a "medium" spectrum of patients
  Poor: Has important limitation, such as use of inappropriate reference standard; improperly administered screening test; biased ascertainment of reference standard; very small sample size of very narrow selected spectrum of patients

 

Case-Control Studies
Criteria
 Accurate ascertainment of cases
 Nonbiased selection of case and control participants with exclusion criteria applied equally to both
 Response rate
 Diagnostic testing procedures applied equally to each group
 Measurement of exposure accurate and applied equally to each group
 Appropriate attention to potential confounding variables
Definition of ratings based on above criteria
  Good: Appropriate ascertainment of case participants and nonbiased selection of case and control participants; exclusion criteria applied equally to case and control participants; response rate equal to or greater than 80%; diagnostic procedures and measurements accurate and applied equally to case and control participants; and appropriate attention to confounding variables
  Fair: Recent, relevant, without major apparent selection or diagnostic work-up bias, but with response rate less than 80% or attention to some but not all important confounding variables
  Poor: Major selection or diagnostic work-up biases, response rates less than 50%, or inattention to confounding variables

 

RCT = randomized, controlled trial.

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A numerical score from 0 to 5 is assigned as a rough measure of study design and reporting quality (0 being weakest and 5 being strongest). This number is based on the validated scale developed by Jadad et al.34

This calculation does not account for all study elements that may be used to assess quality (other aspects of study design and reporting are addressed in tables and text).

A Jadad score is calculated using the 7 items in Appendix Table 5. The first 5 items are indications of good quality, and each counts as 1 point toward an overall quality score. (Give a score of 1 for each yes and 0 for each no. There are no in-between marks.)

The final 2 items indicate poor quality, and a point is subtracted for each if its criteria are met. The range of possible scores is 0 to 5.

Randomization: A method to generate the sequence of randomization will be regarded as appropriate if each study participant was allowed to have the same chance of receiving each intervention and the investigators could not predict which treatment was next. Inappropriate methods of allocation are date of birth, date of admission, hospital numbers, or alternation.

Double-blinding: A study must be regarded as double-blind if the word "double-blind" is used. The method will be regarded as appropriate if it is stated that neither the person doing the assessments nor the study participant could identify the intervention being assessed, or if, in the absence of such a statement, the use of active placebos, identical placebos, or dummies is mentioned.

Withdrawals and dropouts: Participants who were included in the study but did not complete the observation period or who were not included in the analysis must be described. The number and the reasons for withdrawal in each group must be stated. If there were no withdrawals, it should be stated in the article. If there is no statement on withdrawals, this item must be given 0 points.

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Item Score
Was the study described as randomized (this includes such words as "randomly", "random", and "randomization")? 0/1
Was the method used to generate the sequence of randomization described and was it appropriate (e.g., table of random numbers, computer-generated)? 0/1
Was the study described as double-blind? 0/1
Was the method of double-blinding described and was it appropriate (e.g., identical placebo, active placebo, dummy)? 0/1
Was there a description of withdrawals and dropouts? 0/1
Deduct 1 point if the method used to generate the sequence of randomization was described but was inappropriate (e.g., patients were allocated alternately or according to date of birth or hospital number). 0/-1
Deduct 1 point if the study was described as double-blind but the method of blinding was inappropriate (e.g., comparison of tablet vs. injection with no double dummy). 0/-1

 

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Study & Year
(Reference)
Preterm Delivery Risk Levela Total Screened, n Inclusion/ Exclusion Criteria Setting and Country Demographics Completed/ Enrolled, n/n Screening Method/ Diagnosis Criteria
Kekki, 200148 Low 5432 Exclude multiple pregnancies or women with previous PTD Multiple prenatal clinics in Finland Mean age, 28.8 y; predominantly white 375
Tx: 187
Placebo: 188
Gram stain (Spiegel)/NR
Kurkinen-Räty, 200049 Low 1956 Exclude multiple pregnancies or women with previous PTD Multicenter, Finland Mean age 27.9 y; race, NR; previous PTD, 10%; manual labor, 33%; middle- or upper-level employee, 67% 101/123
Tx: 62
Placebo: 61
Gram stain (Spiegel)/Gram stain—negative or Gram-variable rods of Gardnerella-type. Gram-intermediate findings not included
Odendaal, 200250 Low, High 1005 Exclude multiple pregnancies and known cervical incompetence, include if antibiotic free for ≥14 days South Africa Mean age, 21.6 y; race, NR; average unmarried, 86.4% Low-risk (primigravidae)
459/464
BV-positive Tx: 66/67
BV-positive Placebo: 82/83
BV-negative: 311/314

High-risk (multigravidae)
472/491
BV-positive Tx: 70/74
BV-positive Placebo: 51/53
BV-negative: 351/364
Exam and/or Gram stain (Spiegel)/Stain label: 3+
Any 3 of the following: Gray discharge, pH >4.7, positive amine test, ≥20% clue cells, lactobacilli ≤2+
Guaschino, 200351 Average 1890 Exclude multiple pregnancies; include asymptomatic, antibiotic free for ≥15 days Outpatient obstetric clinics, multicenter, Italy Mean age, 29.1 y; race, NR; education, 12.5 y (Tx), 10.8 y (control) 100/112
Tx: 49/55
Control: 51/57
Gram Stain/Hillier 1992 (Nugent)/NR
Kiss, 200452 Average 4080 Exclude multiple pregnancies; include asymptomatic, no vaginal bleeding Non-hospital obstetrics clinics in Vienna, Austria Mean age, 28.9 y; race, 98% white 292/297 (BV only)
Tx: 144/151
Control: 135/146
Gram stain (Nugent)/Nugent score ≥4
Lamont, 200353 Average NR Include ages 16-40 y, Gram stain consistent with BV, asymptomatic, 13-20 wk of gestation. Exclusions: history of antibiotic-related colitis, inflammatory bowel disease, or frequent periodic diarrhea; multiple pregnancies; and pregnancy complications. Hospital-based antenatal care; 3 sites in United Kingdom Mean age, 27 y; race, 70% white, 15% black; previous PTD, 7.3% 368/409
Tx: 178/208
Placebo: 190/201
Gram stain (Nugent)/Nugent score ≥4
Larsson, 200654 Average 8547 Include ≥18 y, asymptomatic, no antibiotic use in early pregnancy, Swedish speaking. Exclude multiple pregnancies and other pregnancy complications. Southeast Health Care Region of Sweden Mean age, 28.5 y; race, 98% white; previous PTD, 9.2% (Tx), 6% (control) 819 BV-positive
Tx: 408/408
Control: 411/411
Gram stain (Nugent)
Hay/Ison criteria to verify diagnosis/Nugent score ≥6

 

Abbreviations: BV, bacterial vaginosis; NA, not applicable; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit; NR, not reported; NS, not significant; PTD, preterm delivery; Tx, treatment.
a Risk level: risk for pre-term delivery; low (no risk factors); average (mixed group, general population); high (previous PTD or other risk factors)

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Illustration of calculation in Table 2, using the outcome of delivery before 34 weeks in the more selective high-risk group

Select Text Description below for details

[D] Select for Text Description.

A flow chart illustrates the calculation underlying the results in Table 2 of this review.

A rectangle at the top center of the chart contains the label, "1000 women." An arrow proceeds downward from this table, then splits into two branches.

The left-hand side of the chart contains the calculation for women with bacterial vaginosis (BV).

The left-hand branch of the arrow is labeled "Multiply the prevalence of BV in the population (0.25)." This left-hand branch proceeds downward to a rectangle containing the label "Women with BV (n = 1000 X 0.25 = 250)."

An arrow with the label "Multiply by sensitivity of BV screening test (0.95)" proceeds downward from this rectangle to a rectangle containing the label "Women with correct diagnosis of BV (n = 250 X 0.95 = 238)."

An arrow with the label "Multiply by adherence to treatment (0.8)" proceeds downward from this rectangle to a rectangle containing the label "Women with BV who complete therapy (n = 238 X 0.8 = 190)."

An arrow with the label "Multiply by the effect size due to treatment of women with BV (0.079)" followed by an asterisk (*) proceeds downward from this rectangle to a rectangle containing the label "Decrease or increase in PTD <34 weeks (190 X 0.079 = 15)" followed by a dagger (†).

An arrow proceeds downward from this rectangle, joins with an arrow from the right-hand side of the chart, and proceeds to a rectangle in the center at the bottom of the chart labeled "Total number of decrease or increase in PTD <34 weeks (15 - 2 = 13).

The right-hand side of the chart contains the calculation for women without BV.

The right-hand branch of the top-most arrow is labeled "Multiply by (1 - prevalence of BV in the population (0.75). This right-hand arrow proceeds downward to a rectangle containing the label "Women without BV (n = 1000 X 0.75 = 750)."

An arrow with the label "Multiply by (1 - specifity of BV screening test) (0.05)" proceeds downward from this rectangle to a rectangle containing the label "Women with incorrect diagnosis of BV (n = 750 X 0.05 = 38)."

An arrow with the label "Multiply by adherence to treatment (0.8)." proceeds downward from this rectangle to a rectangle containing the label "Women without BV who complete therapy (n = 38 X 0.8 = 30)."

An arrow with the label "Multiply by the effect size due to treatment of women without BV (-0.06)" proceeds downward from this rectangle to a rectangle containing the label "Decrease or increase in PTD <34 weeks (38 X -0.06 = -2)" followed by a dagger (†).

An arrow proceeds downward from this rectangle, joins with the arrow from the left-hand side of the chart, and proceeds to the rectangle in the center at the bottom of the chart labeled "Total number of decrease or increase in PTD <34 weeks (15 - 2 = 13)."

The legend at the bottom of the chart reads:

BV = bacterial vaginosis; PTD = preterm delivery.
*To calculate the confidence limits for the increase or decrease in adverse outcome, plug in the confidence limits of effect size here.
† A negative sign (-) indicates a net increase in adverse outcomes (harm), and a positive sign (+) indicates a net decrease in adverse outcomes (benefit).

BV = bacterial vaginosis; PTD = preterm delivery.
*To calculate the confidence limits for the increase or decrease in adverse outcome, plug in the confidence limits of effect size here.
† A negative sign (-) indicates a net increase in adverse outcomes (harm), and a positive sign (+) indicates a net decrease in adverse outcomes (benefit).

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